Archive for December, 2009

House Prices to Rise Next Year

Tuesday, December 22nd, 2009

According to the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors, the value of a typical British home will have gone up 2-3% in value than their current level. The monthly number of sales is also likely to rise throughout 2010. This has come as a shock to many during the recession but it’s attributed to the lack of homes being put on the market and the buyers competing for the best properties.

The imbalance between the supply and demand will continue into the New Year pushing house prices up even more, says the Cheif Economist at the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors. But lenders still maintain their strict criteria and the purchasers continue to be the ones with large deposits and perfect credit. 80% of first time buyers have been forced to rely on wealthier relatives for help with the large deposits required, according to the Coucil of Mortgage Lenders.

It is encouraging to know the housing market is starting to move, but this will only plateau unless the lenders loosen their criteria and allow more people to become eligible buyers.

Are You Owed Money from Your Gas Supplier?

Wednesday, December 16th, 2009

According to a study by moneysupermarket, a staggering 5 million households are in credit with their gas suppliers and are owed on average £89. This might not seem like a life changing amount, but when added together, the UK consumers are £454 million out of pocket. Only twenty percent of these customers has actually claimed the money back and therefore the gas suppliers are sitting on £363 million which is unclaimed. Of course on the flip side, there are households who are in debt to the gas suppliers but this equates to £280 million collectively. This means that the gas suppliers are still sitting on millions gaining interest.

We personally found ourselves in this situation and our supplier was extremely reluctant to reduce our direct debit until it had run it’s full course. I don’t understand why, if we are not using the supply, we are forced to keep having a certain fixed amount sucked from our account every month until they can be bothered to reasses it in the New Year? Electricity is another one that falls into this estimated reading charge which really should be kept on top of. We have a flat that was empty for a couple of months and a bill for £600+. When I called to let them know the situation, Southern Electric said they would redo the bill and sent us back one for £25. The difference between £600 and £25 is significant and while big companies like that would have to charge us a lot more if they had employees coming to read everyone’s meters every week, if we had called to organize a payment plan or hadn’t queried it at all, they would have happily taken the full unearned amount.

What Will Happen to the City if Bankers Leave?

Monday, December 14th, 2009

The following transcript is from the Andrew Marr Show on Sunday the 13th of December with his interview with Boris Johnson. It echos the concerns in our previous blog regarding the big bankers moving out of the City.

ANDREW MARR: Okay. Another of your big responsibilities obviously is the City of London as a financial hub. So how seriously do you think we should take all the stuff – there’s a lot of it in the papers again today – about people going abroad, going to the British Virgin Islands, Switzerland, etcetera, to avoid the 50% impost?

BORIS JOHNSON: Obviously there’s going to be a lot of fluttering in the dovecotes, a lot of plaster coming off the ceiling after what we saw last week. I think you know people should realise what’s really happening here. This was basically a measure intended to throw a lot of sand in people’s eyes and to disguise I mean the bonus tax.

ANDREW MARR: (over) You don’t think it’s going to raise real amounts of money?

BORIS JOHNSON: Let me … I don’t think it will. I think its primary intention was to occlude, to cover up what was happening with the national insurance contributions – the huge hit that the rest of Britain is taking – and to say look what we’re doing to these fat cats and they’ve had it coming and here it is, this is what we’re doing. It won’t raise anything like the sums that are proposed by the Treasury – not least because I’m afraid the bankers will find ways of getting round it by deferring their bonuses, paying them in other ways.

ANDREW MARR: So can I … What should Conservatives do about this because bankers are very unpopular at the moment, for very obvious reasons, and some of them are taking enormous bonuses. What can or should be done about it?

BORIS JOHNSON: Well you know I said a few months ago that I thought that there was a real problem building up. You remember round about end of summer, September we started to see headlines saying it’s going to be a bumper Christmas, folks – bonus… you know they were going to get billions of pounds in bonuses again. And I thought that was going to be extremely damaging, so you know I made it clear my own view was that the bankers should make a collective effort to show restraint, not to pay themselves …

ANDREW MARR: (over) Yuh … which, which they don’t.

BORIS JOHNSON: And I’m afraid that they didn’t, and I think it became a political inevitability that some kind of retribution was going to be exacted. All I can say, all I can say is …

ANDREW MARR: (over) So how you can exact some kind of retribution without pushing people abroad? That’s the question.

BORIS JOHNSON: My own view would have been it would have been far better for them to have come to the table and said, right, we understand.

ANDREW MARR: (over) Yuh, but given that they haven’t?

BORIS JOHNSON: (over) We understand that we should have made a much greater contribution, we understand that we have taken huge sums of taxpayers’ money to keep our institutions afloat and there’s no doubt about it.

ANDREW MARR: Sure, but we’re left with a position where they haven’t done that. My question is, given that, what could be done, what should be done?

BORIS JOHNSON: Well I think that you know they should have shown much greater self-restraint. What kind of impost, what kind of tax you come up with, I don’t know. What I do know is that I think the failure with this particular solution is that it is not global. And although there is a suggestion of support from France – we’ve yet to see much concrete about that – there’s no real support in America. So the problem, the problem is …

ANDREW MARR: (over) So Britain should dump these measures, this particular 50% tax on everything over £25,000?

BORIS JOHNSON: I can’t prete… You know I can’t pretend I find it easy to think that the bankers should have got away scot-free this Christmas with paying billions of pounds of effectively taxpayer funded bonuses.

ANDREW MARR: But in a few months time, George Osborne is going to be …

BORIS JOHNSON: (over) But I have to say, but I have to tell you I don’t think that it is a brilliantly devised measure. I think if you could have come up with a solution that brought together New York, Paris, Frankfurt – all the financial centres – and said this is how we’re going to approach it, then that might have been, that might have been better. ANDREW MARR: (over) But if George Os…

BORIS JOHNSON: (over) Speaking as the Mayor, speaking as the Mayor, that is what I would far have preferred.

ANDREW MARR: And if George Osborne becomes Chancellor in a few months time, you would say to him actually drop this?

BORIS JOHNSON: I would say to him that – and I think this is you know what I’ve been saying for quite a long time now – I would say you know it’s very, very hard to devise a bonus tax (or whatever you want to call it) that is really effective, but if you’re going to do it, then get international agreement. Because no matter how despised these people may be – and I understand people’s feelings and you know I personally think it’s outrageous that they should be paying effectively taxpayer funded bonuses – but unless you can come up with a system that penalises all great financial centres, then you’re going to end up super penalising London. And that, I’m afraid to say as Mayor, I don’t think is a good idea …

ANDREW MARR: Right, okay, okay.

BORIS JOHNSON: … because we, this city depends on financial services and the whole of the UK economy depends on the strength of the London economy.

ANDREW MARR: Sure. We seem to be going into a period in politics marked by a bit of class war. Do you think there are enough old Etonians at the top of the Conservative Party at the moment?

BORIS JOHNSON: This is a brilliantly contrived question. I don’t think … I think the classic answer to this … I can’t remember which school you went to, Andrew.

ANDREW MARR: Loretto.

BORIS JOHNSON: Jolly good school. You know I think enough of this nonsense. I don’t think the public really give a hoot, monkey’s, whatever, tinker’s cuss about where you …

ANDREW MARR: (over) So when you see Annunziata Rees-Mogg being told that she should be known as Nancy Mogg, your eyes roll?

BORIS JOHNSON: (over) … where you come from and all that kind of thing. I think they want to know what’s going on between your ears and you know what you’ve got to say to them.

ANDREW MARR: And do you think the Conservative Party is in a position now where it is appealing to the centre ground enough to win this election because you know we read at least some of the polls seem to be narrowing at the moment?

BORIS JOHNSON: I think that … You know I’m not going to say that the election’s a done deal, but I think that the Labour government is almost completely discredited. In my view, I think they’ve bogged it up in the most imperial, intergalactic fashion. They’ve run up absolutely colossal sums in debt. They show no credible way of getting us out of this mess. They seem to have absolutely no sense of how to cut waste. I think the PBR was a completely wasted opportunity. They deserve to be ejected into orbit. I think what you’re going to see … I think the story of politics at the moment is basically we know the denouement … It’s like a novel where the denouement has become obvious a little bit too early and so …

ANDREW MARR: (over) Well tell me about one of the future chapters. Next parliament, are you going to rejoin the House of Commons?

BORIS JOHNSON: I think it highly unlikely. You mean, what, in 2010? ANDREW MARR: After 2010, in the next five years. Between 2010 and 2015, does Boris Johnson return to the House of Commons? Question. BORIS JOHNSON: Well how does that work?

ANDREW MARR: Well I don’t know – you get a seat and get in, I suppose.

BORIS JOHNSON: Well you know it’s … Ask my brother to stand aside.

ANDREW MARR: Alright, there we go.

BORIS JOHNSON: (laughs) Highly unlikely.

ANDREW MARR: Boris Johnson, almost briefly reduced to silence.

BORIS JOHNSON: Nonsense, nonsense, nonsense.

ANDREW MARR: Thank you very much indeed.

INTERVIEW ENDS

Mortgage Lending at 22 Month High

Thursday, December 10th, 2009

The Council of Mortgage Lenders has announced that the number of mortgages given to homebuyers is the highest it has been since December 2007. Unfortunately rates for remortgages are the lowest they have been since 2002. This is most likely because the low interest rates have meant many homeowners are better staying with their lender’s standard variable rate.

Michael Coogan, Director General of CML: “We are still in a two-speed mortgage market. It appears that low interest rates for those with substantial deposits, coupled with this year’s sustained increases in house prices, are encouraging more people to buy or move home.

But the same low interest rates that are driving house purchase activity provide little incentive for borrowers to refinance their loans.”

But if a homeowner has had no missed payments in the last 12 months, they are prime candidtates for a remortgage. Especially if they want to consolidate any debt that maybe on a higher interest rate such as car finance or credit cards. www.GoRemortgage.co.uk

British Airways Staff Among Thefts This Holiday Season

Wednesday, December 9th, 2009

Make sure you are careful with your credit card and bank details this holiday season! I personally have heard a handful of stories of petty theft this holidays season, bags getting stolen from cars parked in private driveways, break ins on homes where the thief seemed to know exactly where to look for the safe or valuable goods. With unemployment up, there are more “opportunists” out there than ever before.

Credit card fraud is also rampant more now than ever. A petrol station just down the street from us had it’s chip and pin machine hacked into by some a South Asian gang who were stealing money from customers. According to a study by life assistance company CPP, credit card fraud will peak by 18 December and hit over £200 million this holiday season. It’s very important during the last minute shopping this year when you might be stressed and a little more careless, to keep your pin number covered, check receipts against bank statements and shred any documents which might have your personal details on them.

Staff in a British Airways call centre in Germany have just been caught in a huge credit card scam. Anyone who booked a flight through a BA call centre in the last 12 months is at risk. The staff reportedly stole millions of Euros from BA customers soon after they booked their flights over the phone. Many of the staff had lists of customers credit card, bank account numbers and security codes at their desks.

BA is a reputable company of course and I personally wouldn’t think twice about booking a flight with them over the phone, this is why it is important to always check your receipts against your statements.

FSA Shows Its Teeth

Tuesday, December 8th, 2009

The Financial Services Authority has now said that the Big Banks cannot give out any big bonuses nor can they even discuss them with their employees without prior consent. Alistair Darling as threatened a heavy tax on the bonuses and the entire board of RBS say they will quit. But the FSA are sticking to their guns and refuse to tolerate any deviation from their new code on remuneration. This new code states that bonus pay must be over a longer period and a larger proportion need to be paid in shares. The CEO of the FSA, Hector Sans, has said that banks cannot use money for their bonus pool when it is more appropriate to use the money to bolster capital cushions.

While big banks have gotten into serious trouble and some have even been bailed out by the taxpayer, surely not all of them have the same amount of exposure to toxic debt and risky investments and should not be punished for keeping their nose relatively clean. Some middle ground should be found here. Sales people are driven by commission and bonuses and without them the City would not thrive. What would the FSA have to say if their banks turn their backs on London and move to the likes Singapore or other emerging markets? Surely the new 50p in the pound tax rate was enough to scare off the high earners but perhaps this will be the final nail in the coffin and the turning off of the lightbulb in London. Thoughts?

Next Year Should Show Lower Energy Prices

Tuesday, December 8th, 2009

The utilities companies have gone under extreme pressure from their regulator (Ofgem) to lower their prices next year. The wholesale price of energy has almost halved but the British energy companies have only slightly lowered their prices. A quote from Alistair Buchanan, CEO of Ofgem, in today’s Times states:

“Ofgem’s role is to ensure that companies can invest, but do not use investment as a shameful excuse to overcharge consumers.”

Maybe they should take some tips from Thames Water which found a way to use it’s customers’ poo (yes I said poo) to save £15 million in their electricity bills. They dried it and burned it and used the heat from the methane to generate the energy. The product after the burning is then offered to farmers as fertilizer or developers as landscaping material or soil improver. None of the poo from the 13.6 million customers was sent to a landfill.

Save Money with Printable Vouchers

Monday, December 7th, 2009

This post is a little less serious than my previous blogs and isn’t necessarily about the current market or mortgages, but I thought it may be helpful none the less. I may be way behind the boat on this but a colleague of mine recently told me about printable vouchers on the internet. Simply Google those key phrases and various sites come up with all kinds of vouchers, mostly High Street shops and chain restaurants. Click here for an example of one of the sites.

Anyway, every little bit helps! You can save a few pounds the next time you eat out and use them to pay off a little bit more on your credit card each month.

Be on Top of Your Credit Score

Sunday, December 6th, 2009

Following on from my blogs by Andrew Strode-Gibbons emphasizing the importance of your credit score these days and the service provided by mortgage lenders, I read a very pertinent article in the Money Section of the Sunday Times today. The article tells the story of a family who lost out on their dream home because their mortgage was refused due to a black mark on their credit score. This was a shock to them as neither Mr or Mrs had any bad credit history. It ended up being a mistake by their mortgage lender, but neither the lender nor the credit reference agency decided to move fast enough to save the family’s bid on the property. They were simply told they would get an explanation within 30 days.

The points it highlights from the previous blogs are 1) how important it is to keep on top of your credit score and make sure any defaults registered are deserved and 2) the kind of service you may expect from a large national lender. The Treasury Commitee has issued an inquiry into the industry. The quote by John Mann, Labour MP from the article states, “This is likely to be only the first stage of our investigation. We have seen real laziness by the banks in merely relying on these external agencies when making decisions that affect peoples’ lives.”

Bank Bonuses, To Pay Or Not To Pay

Sunday, December 6th, 2009

It seems the major news story concerning the markets today is all about RBS and whether or not Alistair Darling and the British government will allow RBS to give the the big bonuses all of its competitors will be handing out. As a condition of it’s latest taxpayer bailout, RBS agreed to give the government veto rights again any new bonus schemes. My immediate thoughts were that of course a bank that was only recently saved by tax payers’ hard earned money should not be able to spend that money in a way that had contributed to the state the market is in at the moment. But after further thought and hearing different points of view, it doesn’t seem that simple.

Today’s Times reported that a thousand investment bankers have left RBS already. This only represents 5% of the staff in RBS’ investment division, but the government’s threat to cut the bonuses and another suggestion of a windfall tax will most likely mean more resignations in the new year. If RBS loses it’s major investment bankers, how can it compete with the rival banks who are taking them? RBS also argues that the profits made by the investment division is vital to getting the money back for the taxpayers. Peter Montagnon, the Director of Investment Affairs at RBS also argued this point and believes the mass exodus of talented investment bankers will seriously cripple the bank. Although the board has said it thinks they will be able to pay more than last year’s £1 billion in bonuses, he still remains unhappy. It seems that even though times are tough, pay in the City is soaring due to lack of competition and companies trying to poach staff from each other.

If Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling agree to pay, no doubt every voter outside the City will turn against them in anger. But if they veto these bonuses surely they are helping to nail the coffin of the bank the taxpayers bailed out so recently.

Alistair Darling on BBC One’s Andrew Marr show this morning

Bank Bonuses Back to Bite Alistair Darling